Is this the year of the 100% woman ticket?

Elizabeth Warren, by Tim Pierce — Own work, CC BY-SA 3.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=22534937. Kamala Harris by InSapphoWeTrust from Los Angeles, California, USA — Attorney General Kamala Harris, San Francisco Pride 2013, CC BY-SA 2.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=53321861

Warren-Harris or Harris-Warren?

I’m going to go out on a limb. Unless things change significantly, Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders will continue their slide into oblivion. I expect that Biden will drop out soon after losing a slew of early primaries, while Sanders may tough it out to the convention.

This isn’t 2016 though. It isn’t Sanders vs. the deeply disliked Hillary Clinton. Instead, he faces a selection of extremely impressive and qualified candidates. The result has been a slow but steady fading of his star, with even his daunted grassroots fundraising eclipsed by Elizabeth Warren in the last quarter.

Elizabeth Warren, by United States Senate — http://www.warren.senate.gov/?p=biography, Public Domain, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=53672925

If Biden and Sanders fade, who’s left? Certainly Pete Buttitieg has impressed with his ability to raise money and generate attention. But beyond Warren, Harris and Buttitieg, the field is looking pretty weak. Amy Klobuchar and Cory Booker have won some impressive endorsements, but they both trail Biden and Harris and have Warren nipping at their heels. Furthermore, their fundraising and campaign have impressed nobody.

So the top tier comes down to Warren, Harris and Buttitieg. As does FiveThirtyEight’s Nate…