How 2020 will be different from 2016

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Hillary Clinton delivers her concession speech in 2016. By Voice of America — https://learningenglish.voanews.com/a/hillary-clinton-concession-speech/3589739.html, Public Domain, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=65215608

Could Trump lose the popular vote by 5 million ballots in 2020 and still win re-election?

The reason a state-by-state analysis is valuable is because we elect our Presidents on a state-by-state basis.

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2016 election results. By Gage — 2012 Electoral College map, CC BY-SA 4.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=35172210

This strategic decision has been characterized as “malpractice,” according to Democratic pollster Paul Maslin.

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Michigan’s Democratic Governor Gretchen Whitmer. By Cjh1452000 — Own work, CC BY-SA 4.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=74397597

Looking at the 2020 race relative to the 2016 race from a purely data-driven perspective misses an important point: campaigns matter.

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Mike is an Assistant Professor of Management for Legal and Ethical Studies at Oakland U. Mike combines his scholarship with practical experience in politics.

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